Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

May 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
2 - 2
Rio Ave

Correia (45+2'), Vidigal (76')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Hernani (35'), Acevedo (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Arouca
Friday, April 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Rio Ave
37.29% ( 0.25)	26.99% ( 0.01)	35.72% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 50.94% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.67% (

-0.04)

54.33% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.29% (

-0.03)

75.71% (

0.03)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.84% (

0.13)

28.15% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.16% (

0.16)

63.84% (

-0.16)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-0.17)

29.09% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

-0.21)

65.01% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 37.29%

Rio Ave 35.72%

Draw 26.98%

Maritimo	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.29%	1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.98%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.72%