Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
41.74% ( 0.05) | 25.81% ( -0.01) | 32.44% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.97% ( 0.01) | 50.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28% ( 0.01) | 72% ( -0.01) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.24% ( 0.03) | 23.76% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.09% ( 0.05) | 57.9% ( -0.05) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( -0.02) | 29.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% ( -0.03) | 64.96% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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