Arouca
Taca da Liga | Second Round
Jul 30, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Rio Ave

Arouca
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Kouassi (24'), Mujica (67')
Fernandes (31'), Jason (72'), Galovic (75'), Quaresma (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Costinha (22')
Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between Arouca and Rio Ave.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Arouca
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Viseu
Saturday, July 22 at 11am in Taca da Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AroucaDrawRio Ave
31.93% (0.164 0.16)27.29% (-0.109 -0.11)40.78% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.381 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (0.457 0.46)56.07% (-0.457 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.37 0.37)77.15% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.55% (0.351 0.35)32.45% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.03% (0.394 0.39)68.97% (-0.392 -0.39)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.184 0.18)27.01% (-0.183 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.241 0.24)62.36% (-0.239 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Arouca 31.93%
    Rio Ave 40.78%
    Draw 27.29%
AroucaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.05 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.55% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.93%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 11.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.51% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.78%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Rio Ave
1-0
Arouca
Vitor (69')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 13
Arouca
0-1
Rio Ave
Yakubu (59' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 1, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Arouca
0-1
Rio Ave

Othavio Basso (37')
Othavio Basso (42')
Aderlan (38')
Gomes (23'), Gomes (40'), Manuel (50'), Ukra (90+5')
Apr 21, 2017 8.30pm
Rio Ave
3-0
Arouca
Jubal (42' og.), Krovinovic (45'), Tarantini (57')
Guedes (38'), Dias (70'), Marcelo (79'), Krovinovic (83')

Velasquez (38'), Bastos (68'), Tomane (82')
Dec 12, 2016 8pm
Arouca
0-2
Rio Ave

Bracali (90')
Bernardes (75')
Nelsinho (89' og.), Ronan (94')