Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Portimão
  • goal Antony 49'
  • goal Alan Ruiz 51'

Portimonense vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 3.30pm
Santa Clara 1 - 0 Portimonense
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Welinton Junior

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
May 20, 2023 3.30pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Chaves
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arouca in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arouca.

Result

Portimonense 35.4% (-0.31)
Draw 26.71% (+0.06)
Arouca 37.89% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.82% (-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.79% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 53.2% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 25.23% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 74.77% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 11.5% (-0.15)
Under 4.5 88.49% (+0.15)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5 71.26% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 28.74% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 35.42% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 64.58% (+0.40)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 72.73% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 27.27% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.29% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.7% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Portimonense 35.4%
Draw 26.7%
Arouca 37.89%
Portimonense
1-0 @ 9.77% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.84% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.7%
Arouca
0-1 @ 10.18% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.25% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 6.62% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 3.57% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.87% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 37.89%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Oday Dabbagh 6' goal
  • Alan Ruiz 32' goal
  • Oday Dabbagh 76' goal
  • Benji Michel 79' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateus Quaresma 22' yellowcard
  • David Simao 50' goal
  • yellowcard Willyan 37'
  • yellowcard Fahd Moufi 57'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Willyan 12' yellowcard
  • Fali Cande 70' yellowcard
  • Luquinhas 71' goal
  • Carlinhos 89' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Silva 52'
  • yellowcard Andre Bukia 73'
  • yellowcard Leandro Silva 88'
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 89'