Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 27, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
0 - 2
Arouca

FT(HT: 0-0)

Antony (49'), Ruiz (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Chaves
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arouca in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arouca.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Arouca
35.4% ( -0.31)	26.71% ( 0.06)	37.89% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.79% (

-0.25)

53.2% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.23% (

-0.22)

74.77% (

0.22)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26% (

-0.31)

28.74% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.42% (

-0.39)

64.58% (

0.39)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

0.02)

27.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.29% (

0.03)

62.7% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 35.4%

Arouca 37.89%

Draw 26.7%

Portimonense	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.4%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.89%