MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 02:29:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Arouca

Portimonense
0 - 2
Arouca


Gonzalez (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antony (49'), Ruiz (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Chaves
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 0-2 Arouca

Buoyed by their dominant display against Chaves, Arouca go all out for an all-important win as they look to snatch a spot in Europe on the last day. The Arouquenses have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we fancy them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arouca in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arouca.

Result
PortimonenseDrawArouca
35.4% (-0.309 -0.31) 26.71% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 37.89% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.209 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (-0.254 -0.25)53.2% (0.254 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (-0.218 -0.22)74.77% (0.21799999999999 0.22)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.312 -0.31)28.74% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.39 -0.39)64.58% (0.39099999999999 0.39)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.024000000000001 0.02)27.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.7% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 35.4%
    Arouca 37.89%
    Draw 26.7%
PortimonenseDrawArouca
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.29% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.078 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.62% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 37.89%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Arouca

Portimonense
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Arouca
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 7pm
gameweek 17
Arouca
4-0
Portimonense
Dabbagh (6', 76'), Ruiz (32'), Michel (79')

Luquinhas (13'), Seck (27'), Pedrao (34'), Ouattara (49')
Seck (65')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Arouca
1-0
Portimonense
Simao (50')
Quaresma (22')

Willyan (37'), Moufi (57')
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
gameweek 15
Portimonense
1-1
Arouca
Luquinhas (71')
Willyan (12'), Cande (70'), Carlinhos (89')
Silva (52')
Bukia (73'), Silva (88'), Kouassi (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!