Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

May 5, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
1 - 1
Portimonense

Soares (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rochez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Portimonense
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Portimonense
43.64% ( 0.07)	25.36% ( 0.02)	30.99% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.98% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.4% (

-0.13)

48.6% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.28% (

-0.12)

70.72% (

0.12)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

-0.02)

22.23% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

-0.04)

55.65% (

0.04)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0.13)

29.31% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

-0.16)

65.28% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 43.64%

Portimonense 30.99%

Draw 25.36%

Casa Pia	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.64%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.99%