Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Portimonense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Benfica

Portimonense
1 - 5
Benfica

Pedrao (38')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Grimaldo (4'), Relvas (28' og.), Ramos (45'), Musa (87', 89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Portimonense
Friday, May 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Braga
Saturday, May 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.38%) and 0-3 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawBenfica
9.08% (0.0040000000000013 0)15.74% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)38.94% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)61.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.34% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)48.65% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)83.7% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.23% (0.00099999999999056 0)8.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)30.1%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 9.08%
    Benfica 75.17%
    Draw 15.74%
PortimonenseDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 3.07%
2-1 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 9.08%
1-1 @ 7.48%
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 15.74%
0-2 @ 12.63%
0-1 @ 10.38%
0-3 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 7.39%
0-4 @ 6.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 4.5%
0-5 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 75.17%

How you voted: Portimonense vs Benfica

Portimonense
18.2%
Draw
0.0%
Benfica
81.8%
22
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2023 7pm
gameweek 15
Benfica
1-0
Portimonense
Mario (9' pen.)

Nakamura (7')
Mar 5, 2022 6pm
gameweek 25
Portimonense
1-2
Benfica
Junior (25')
Sergio (28'), Willyan (45+7'), Junior (45+8'), Da Costa (45+15'), Sergio (45+15'), Possignolo (63'), Luquinhas (74')
Moufi (90+5')
Grimaldo (45+7'), Ramos (50')
Vertonghen (41'), Ramos (57'), Bernardo (90+1')
Oct 3, 2021 6pm
gameweek 8
Benfica
0-1
Portimonense

Yaremchuk (12'), Nunez (42')
Possignolo (66')
Boa Morte (44'), Carlinhos (60'), Possignolo (62'), Portugal (80'), Willyan (90')
Apr 22, 2021 7pm
gameweek 28
Portimonense
1-5
Benfica
Beto (43')
Poha (72')
Pizzi (45+2'), Nunez (50'), Seferovic (64', 73'), Everton (90+4')
Gabriel (6'), Otamendi (78')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
gameweek 11
Benfica
2-1
Portimonense
Nunez (13'), Silva (23')
Otamendi (40'), Waldschmidt (59'), Taarabt (90+5')
Gilberto (90+2' og.)
Cande (30'), Willyan (34'), Moufi (54'), Beto (76')