Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 2
Napoli

Bani (40'), Retegui (56')
De Winter (32'), Retegui (33'), Badelj (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Raspadori (76'), Politano (84')
Elmas (1'), Cajuste (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Napoli
20.93% ( 0.02)	23.93% ( 0)	55.14% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.61% (

0.01)

50.39% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

0.01)

72.32% (

-0.01)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.4% (

0.03)

38.6% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.65% (

0.02)

75.35% (

-0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.85% (

18.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.88%

49.12% (

Score Analysis

Genoa 20.93%

Napoli 55.13%

Draw 23.93%

Genoa	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.49% Total : 20.93%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-3 @ 5.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.36% 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 55.13%