Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 3

Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Torino
1 - 0
Genoa

Radonjic (90+4')
Seck (70'), Pellegri (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Badelj (18'), Malinovskyi (21'), Strootman (45+1'), Thorsby (78'), Bani (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 4-1 Torino
Saturday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Genoa

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Genoa
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
Torino	Draw	Genoa
45.96% ( 0.43)	27.86% ( -0.09)	26.18% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 44.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.57% (

0.12)

60.43% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.43% (

0.09)

80.57% (

-0.09)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68% (

0.28)

26.32% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.55% (

0.37)

61.45% (

-0.37)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.69% (

-0.23)

39.31% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.99% (

-0.21)

76.01% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Torino 45.95%

Genoa 26.18%

Draw 27.85%

Torino	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 45.95%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.18%