Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
| 18.91% ( | 23.27% ( | 57.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.71% ( | 50.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.76% ( | 72.23% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( | 40.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( | 77.31% ( |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( | 17.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% ( | 47.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-1 @ 4.97% ( 2-0 @ 2.82% ( 3-1 @ 1.49% ( 3-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 18.91% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0-2 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0-4 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-5 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 57.8% |