Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
41.6% ( 0.26) | 26.01% ( -0.03) | 32.4% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.15% ( 0.09) | 50.85% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.27% ( 0.08) | 72.73% ( -0.07) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% ( 0.17) | 24.2% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% ( 0.24) | 58.53% ( -0.23) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.51% ( -0.1) | 29.49% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.49% ( -0.13) | 65.51% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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