Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
| 41.6% ( | 26.01% ( | 32.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( | 50.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( | 72.73% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( | 24.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.47% ( | 58.53% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( | 29.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( | 65.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 3-0 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.4% |