Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
0 - 3
Juventus

Kabasele (31')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Chiesa (2'), Vlahovic (20' pen.), Rabiot (45+3')
Sandro (27'), Danilo (35'), Locatelli (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 4-1 Catanzaro
Friday, August 11 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Atalanta
Saturday, August 12 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Juventus
32.1% ( -0.23)	25.9% ( 0.14)	42% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

-0.68)

50.47% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

-0.6)

72.39% (

0.61)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5% (

-0.49)

29.5% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48% (

-0.6)

65.51% (

0.6)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17% (

-0.25)

23.82% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42% (

-0.37)

58% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Udinese 32.1%

Juventus 42%

Draw 25.89%

Udinese	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.1%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.93% Total : 42%