Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.