Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 27, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
3 - 2
Udinese

Kastanos (43'), Candreva (57'), Troost-Ekong (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Zeegelaar (25'), Nestorovski (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 2-2 Salernitana
Monday, May 22 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Udinese
31.55% ( -0.06)	26.48% ( 0.12)	41.96% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.95% (

-0.49)

53.05% (

0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.36% (

-0.42)

74.64% (

0.42)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.83% (

-0.29)

31.17% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

-0.34)

67.51% (

0.35)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

-0.24)

24.99% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

-0.34)

59.65% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 31.55%

Udinese 41.96%

Draw 26.48%

Salernitana	Draw	Udinese
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 31.55%	1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 41.96%