/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Antonino Gallo
36'
-
Ylber Ramadani
57'
-
Roberto D'Aversa
67'
-
Joan Gonzalez
81'
-
Leo Skiri Oestigaard
16'
-
Giovanni Simeone
17'
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
33'
-
Victor Osimhen
51'
-
Gianluca Gaetano
88'
-
Matteo Politano
90'+4'
Lecce vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Fvictor-osimhen.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Lecce
23.75%
▲
(+0.29)
Draw
26.25%
▼
(-0.03)
Napoli
50%
▼
(-0.27)
Both Teams to Score:
46.97%
▲
(+0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.54%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 2.5
56.46%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 3.5
22.53%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 3.5
77.46%
▼
(-0.26)
Over 4.5
9.83%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
90.17%
▼
(-0.16)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
60.72%
▲
(+0.45)
Under 0.5
39.28%
▼
(-0.45)
Over 1.5
24.01%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 1.5
75.98%
▼
(-0.42)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
77.35%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
22.65%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
43.71%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
56.29%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Lecce
23.75%
Draw
26.24%
Napoli
50%
Lecce
1-0
@
8.31%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.75%
2-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.75%
Draw
1-1
@
12.34%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.24%
0-0 @ 8.9% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.24%
Napoli
0-1
@
13.21%
▼
(-0.15)
0-2 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50%
0-2 @ 9.81% ▼ (-0.12)
1-2 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50%
Head to Head
-
Kalidou Koulibaly
37'
-
Arkadiusz Milik
48'
-
Piotr Zielinski
57'
-
Arkadiusz Milik
73'
-
Mario Rui
80'
-
Diego Demme
84'
-
Jose Callejon
90'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
29'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
61'
-
Andrea Rispoli
66'
-
Mauro Vigorito
78'
-
Marco Mancosu
82'
-
Jacopo Petriccione
85'
Serie A
Gameweek
4
-
Panagiotis Tachtsidis
37'
-
Gabriel
38'
-
Andrea Tabanelli
49'
-
Marco Mancosu
61'
-
Faouzi Ghoulam
22'
-
Fernando Llorente
28'
-
Lorenzo Insigne
40'
-
Eljif Elmas
45'
-
Fabian
52'
-
Fabian
53'
-
Fernando Llorente
82'