Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 4
Napoli

Gallo (36'), Ramadani (57'), D'Aversa (67'), Gonzalez (81')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Skiri Oestigaard (16'), Osimhen (51'), Gaetano (88'), Politano (90+4' pen.)
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Lecce
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 4-1 Udinese
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Napoli
23.75% ( 0.29)	26.25% ( -0.02)	50% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 46.97% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.54% (

0.31)

56.46% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.53% (

0.25)

77.46% (

-0.25)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.72% (

0.45)

39.28% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.01% (

0.41)

75.98% (

-0.42)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

0.02)

22.65% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

0.02)

56.29% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lecce 23.75%

Napoli 50%

Draw 26.24%

Lecce	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.75%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 50%