Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 1
Lecce

Colpani (24')
Caldirola (2'), Mari (19'), Birindelli (61'), Ciurria (76'), Pereira (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Krstovic (3' pen.)
Rafia (45+2')
Baschirotto (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Monza
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lecce 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Lecce
51.59% ( -0.34)	25.44% ( -0)	22.96% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 48.38% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

0.32)

54.18% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

0.27)

75.59% (

-0.27)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98% (

-0.01)

21.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.19% (

-0.02)

53.8% (

0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.25% (

0.5)

38.74% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.52% (

0.48)

75.48% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Monza 51.59%

Lecce 22.96%

Draw 25.44%

Monza	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 51.59%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.96%