Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Monza1 - 1Lecce
We said: Monza 2-1 Lecce
Lecce's undefeated streak could reach its end on Sunday, if Monza's able front line click into gear and make the most of their opportunities. Putting a halt to their drought in this match-up, the Biancorossi should just have the edge over their in-form visitors on this occasion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Lecce |
51.59% ( -0.34) | 25.44% ( -0) | 22.96% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
