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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Genoa logo

Lecce
1 - 0
Genoa

Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Genoa

Despite never going five games unbeaten at the start of a Serie A season before, Lecce will fancy their chances of setting that new club record here. Genoa have also shown some very promising signs, especially in games against Lazio and Napoli, and should make this a close, competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawGenoa
49.68% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 27.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.92% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.15% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)24.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.65% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (0.026 0.03)79% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 49.68%
    Genoa 22.93%
    Draw 27.38%
LecceDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 14.74%
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.93%

How you voted: Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce
55.9%
Draw
23.5%
Genoa
20.6%
68
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
Dec 8, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Lecce
2-2
Genoa
Falco (60'), Tabanelli (70')
La Mantia (21'), Lucioni (45'), Tachtsidis (55'), Petriccione (65'), Tabanelli (71')
Pandev (31'), Criscito (45' pen.)
Pajac (14'), Agudelo (18'), Criscito (67'), Pandev (73')
Agudelo (69'), Pandev (77')
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
Third Round
Genoa
4-0
Lecce
Piatek (2', 9', 19', 37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Lazio34174134335855
7Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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