Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
4 - 1
Udinese

Zielinski (19' pen.), Osimhen (39'), Kvaratskhelia (74'), Simeone (81')
Simeone (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Samardzic (80')
Perez (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Napoli
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Udinese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Udinese 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 15.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Udinese
64.29% ( 0.59)	20.54% ( -0.15)	15.17% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 50.08% (

-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.94% (

-0.2)

45.06% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

-0.19)

67.41% (

0.18)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.71% (

0.11)

13.29% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.89% (

0.23)

40.11% (

-0.23)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.75% (

-0.72)

42.24% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.35% (

-0.62)

78.64% (

0.62)

Score Analysis

Napoli 64.28%

Udinese 15.17%

Draw 20.54%

Napoli	Draw	Udinese
2-0 @ 11.43% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 64.28%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.92% Total : 20.54%	0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.17%