La Liga Gameweek 9
Real Madrid
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Osasuna
  • Jude Bellingham 9' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 40' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 54' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 59' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 65' goal
  • Joselu 70' goal
  • yellowcard Kike Barja 83'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ibanez 83'

Real Madrid vs Osasuna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Girona 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 3.15pm
Alaves 0 - 2 Osasuna
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 68.41% ▼ (-0.96)
Draw 18.99% ▲ (+0.47)
Osasuna 12.59% ▲ (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.23% ▼ (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.11% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 2.5 43.89% ▲ (+0.87)
Over 3.5 33.72% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 3.5 66.28% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 4.5 17.32% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 4.5 82.68% ▲ (+0.64)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 88.23% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 0.5 11.77% ▲ (+0.51)
Over 1.5 63.04% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 1.5 36.95% ▲ (+1.09)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5 54.66% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 0.5 45.34% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 1.5 18.8% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 81.2% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 68.4%
Draw 18.99%
Osasuna 12.59%
Real Madrid
2-0 @ 12.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 11.41% ▲ (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.20)
3-1 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 68.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.03% ▲ (+0.23)
0-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.20)
2-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.99%
Osasuna
0-1 @ 4.22% ▲ (+0.19)
1-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-97.90)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 12.59%

Head to Head

Copa del Rey
Real Madrid
May 6, 2023 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla
Osasuna
  • Rodrygo 2' goal
  • Rodrygo 70' goal
  • goal Lucas Torro 58'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Osasuna
Feb 18, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
Real Madrid
  • goal Federico Valverde 78'
  • goal Marco Asensio 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Real Madrid
Oct 2, 2022 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Osasuna
  • Vinicius Junior 42' goal
  • goal Kike 50'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Osasuna
Apr 20, 2022 8.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Real Madrid
  • Ante Budimir 13' goal
  • Darko Brasanac 44' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 5'
  • goal David Alaba 12'
  • goal Marco Asensio 45'
  • yellowcard Eder Militao 60'
  • yellowcard Nacho 62'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Real Madrid
Oct 27, 2021 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Osasuna
  • Eduardo Camavinga 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Unai Garcia 15'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Real Madrid
May 1, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Osasuna
  • Eder Militao 76' goal
  • Casemiro 80' goal
  • yellowcard Javi Martinez 54'
  • yellowcard Oier Sanjurjo 55'

Form Data

Napoli 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Girona 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Las Palmas
Atletico 3 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Union Berlin
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
Alaves 0 - 2 Osasuna
Osasuna 0 - 2 Atletico
Osasuna 0 - 0 Sevilla
Getafe 3 - 2 Osasuna
Osasuna 1 - 2 Barcelona
Brugge 2 - 2 Osasuna

Build-up

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