La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 7, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
4 - 0
Osasuna

Bellingham (9', 54'), Junior (65'), Joselu (70')
Rudiger (40'), Tchouameni (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barja (83'), Ibanez (83')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Jude Bellingham celebrates scoring against Athletic Bilbao on August 12, 2023

Jude Bellingham equals Cristiano Ronaldo record in Osasuna thrashing

Real Madrid midfielder Jude Bellingham matches yet another goalscoring record set by Cristiano Ronaldo in Los Blancos' 4-0 La Liga thrashing of Osasuna.

Oct 7, 22:17

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Napoli 2-3 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 0-2 Osasuna
Sunday, October 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 12.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
68.41% ( -0.95)	18.99% ( 0.47)	12.59% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 48.23% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.11% (

-0.87)

43.89% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

-0.85)

66.28% (

0.85)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.23% (

-0.5)

11.77% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.04% (

-1.09)

36.95% (

1.09)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.66% (

0.25)

45.34% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.8% (

0.2)

81.2% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 68.4%

Osasuna 12.59%

Draw 18.99%

Real Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
2-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 68.4%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 18.99%	0-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.59%