La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 2
Barcelona

Avila (76')
Areso (41'), Arrasate (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kounde (45+1'), Lewandowski (86' pen.)
Lewandowski (33'), de Jong (83'), Balde (90+2')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Brugge 2-2 Osasuna
Thursday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 3-4 Barcelona
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Barcelona
23.29% ( 0.89)	24.4% ( 0.03)	52.31% ( -0.92)

Both teams to score 51.85% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.22% (

0.76)

49.78% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.22% (

0.68)

71.78% (

-0.67)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.01% (

1.26)

35.99% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.23% (

1.26)

72.76% (

-1.26)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

-0.07)

19% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45% (

-0.11)

50.55% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 23.29%

Barcelona 52.31%

Draw 24.4%

Osasuna	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.29%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.4%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.31%