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Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Club Brugge

Osasuna
1 - 2
Brugge

Avila (78')
Mojica (29'), Garcia (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Skov Olsen (50'), De Cuyper (80')
Buchanan (45+3'), Onyedika (51'), Thiago (52'), Skov Olsen (67'), Mignolet (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Osasuna and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Club Brugge

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brugge 7-1 RWDM
Sunday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawClub Brugge
27.8% (-0.25 -0.25)24.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)47.51% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-0.223 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.64% (-0.206 -0.21)47.36% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.42% (-0.194 -0.19)69.58% (0.193 0.19)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (-0.294 -0.29)30.95% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (-0.345 -0.34)67.24% (0.346 0.35)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (0.019000000000005 0.02)19.99% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)52.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 27.8%
    Club Brugge 47.51%
    Draw 24.69%
OsasunaDrawClub Brugge
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 27.8%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.69%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.05% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.3% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.73% (0.019 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.51%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Brugge

Osasuna
39.8%
Draw
29.6%
Club Brugge
30.6%
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