Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Akureyrarvollur
Club Brugge

KA
1 - 5
Brugge

Petersen (59')
Arni Adal­steins­son (10'), Freyr Elisson (63'), Simun Edmundsson (76+76'), Simun Edmundsson (76')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Boyata (7'), Skoras (45+3'), Yaremchuk (57', 66', 75')
Odoi (41'), Zinckernagel (60')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between KA and Club Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Brugge 5-1 KA
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for KA had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a KA win it was 2-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
KADrawClub Brugge
17.96% (-0.277 -0.28)20.41% (-0.352 -0.35)61.63% (0.633 0.63)
Both teams to score 56.75% (0.703 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.71% (1.181 1.18)39.29% (-1.177 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.38% (1.223 1.22)61.62% (-1.22 -1.22)
KA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.69% (0.40300000000001 0.4)35.31% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.93% (0.415 0.41)72.07% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.73% (0.54899999999999 0.55)12.28% (-0.545 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.97% (1.133 1.13)38.03% (-1.131 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    KA 17.97%
    Club Brugge 61.63%
    Draw 20.41%
KADrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 4.93% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 4.51% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 2.35% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.035 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 17.97%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.41%
1-2 @ 9.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.312 -0.31)
1-3 @ 6.94% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 6.67% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.64% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.61% (0.107 0.11)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.1 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.093 0.09)
1-5 @ 1.53% (0.09 0.09)
0-5 @ 1.47% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 61.63%

How you voted: KA vs Brugge

KA
14.3%
Draw
14.3%
Club Brugge
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Brugge
5-1
KA
Spileers (10'), Vanaken (40'), Skov Olsen (41'), Thiago (45' pen.), Yaremchuk (77')
Vetlesen (2')
Willard (60')
Sigurgeirsson (31'), Willard (90+2')