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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ceres Park
Club Brugge

Aarhus
1 - 0
Brugge

Beijmo (3')
Bech (41'), Akoto (44'), Knudsen (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skov Olsen (41'), Vermant (45+1'), Rits (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Aarhus and Club Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aarhus 1-3 Nordsjaelland
Monday, July 31 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Club Brugge

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Mechelen
Sunday, July 30 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawClub Brugge
33.12% (-1.101 -1.1)25.42% (-0.186 -0.19)41.46% (1.296 1.3)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.568 0.57)48.14% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.518 0.52)70.3% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.402 -0.4)27.7% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.524 -0.52)63.26% (0.532 0.53)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (0.902 0.9)23.08% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (1.303 1.3)56.92% (-1.295 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 33.12%
    Club Brugge 41.46%
    Draw 25.42%
AarhusDrawClub Brugge
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.12%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.187 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.108 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.097 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.46%

How you voted: Aarhus vs Brugge

Aarhus
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Club Brugge
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Brugge
3-0
Aarhus
Buchanan (10'), Rits (48'), Vetlesen (76')
Mechele (5')

Molgaard (29'), Kristensen (53')