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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ceres Park
Club Brugge

Aarhus
1 - 0
Brugge

Beijmo (3')
Bech (41'), Akoto (44'), Knudsen (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Skov Olsen (41'), Vermant (45+1'), Rits (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Aarhus and Club Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

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Last Game: Randers 1-2 Aarhus
Sunday, December 7 at 3pm in Danish Superliga
Next Game: Hobro vs. Aarhus
Thursday, January 15 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Club Brugge

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Last Game: Brugge 2-2 Sturm Graz
Thursday, January 8 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Next Game: Charleroi vs. Brugge
Tuesday, January 13 at 7.30pm in Belgian Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AarhusDrawClub Brugge
33.12% (-1.101 -1.1)25.42% (-0.186 -0.19)41.46% (1.296 1.3)
Both teams to score 55.62% (0.342 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86% (0.568 0.57)48.14% (-0.56 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7% (0.518 0.52)70.3% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
Aarhus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.402 -0.4)27.7% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.524 -0.52)63.26% (0.532 0.53)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.92% (0.902 0.9)23.08% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.08% (1.303 1.3)56.92% (-1.295 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    Aarhus 33.12%
    Club Brugge 41.46%
    Draw 25.42%
AarhusDrawClub Brugge
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.12%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 9.37% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.187 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.108 0.11)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.097 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 41.46%

How you voted: Aarhus vs Brugge

Aarhus
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Club Brugge
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Brugge
3-0
Aarhus
Buchanan (10'), Rits (48'), Vetlesen (76')
Mechele (5')

Molgaard (29'), Kristensen (53')