Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.