Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Puskas Academy had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Puskas Academy win was 0-1 (6.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.