Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.34% and a win for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki had a probability of 12.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%) , while for a Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.