Conference League | League Stage

Dec 18, 2025 at 8pm UK

Legia Legia Warsaw
4-1
Lincoln Lincoln Red Imps

Colak (21'), Kapustka (62'), Rajovic (70'), Bichakhchyan (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

De Barr (89')

Coverage of the Conference League League Stage clash between Legia Warsaw and Lincoln Red Imps.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

Last Game: Legia 4-1 Lincoln
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Lincoln Red Imps

Last Game: Legia 4-1 Lincoln
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.27% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%) , while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Legia Warsaw	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
61.03% ( -1.39)	20.27% ( 0.4)	18.69% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 58.67% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.56% (

-0.22)

37.43% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.34% (

-0.24)

59.65% (

0.24)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.12% (

-0.44)

11.87% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.82% (

-0.95)

37.17% (

0.95)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58% (

0.92)

33.42% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95% (

70.04% (

-1)

Score Analysis

Legia Warsaw 61.03%

Lincoln Red Imps 18.69%

Draw 20.27%

Legia Warsaw	Draw	Lincoln Red Imps
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.2% Total : 61.03%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.27%	1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.05% Total : 18.69%