Conference League
Dec 18, 2025 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Antonio Colak 21' goal
  • Kacper Urbanski 29' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Kapustka 62' goal
  • Mileta Rajovic 70' goal
  • Vahan Bichakhchyan 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ayman El Ghobashy 82'
  • goal Tjay De Barr 89'

Legia Warsaw vs Lincoln Red Imps - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 5.45pm
Noah 2 - 1 Legia

Lincoln Red Imps

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Dec 11, 2025 8.00pm
Lincoln 2 - 1 Olomouc

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.27% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%) , while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Legia Warsaw 61.03% (-1.39)
Draw 20.27% (+0.41)
Lincoln Red Imps 18.69% (+0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.67% (+0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.56% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 37.43% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 40.34% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 59.65% (+0.24)
Over 4.5 22.41% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 77.58% (+0.20)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5 88.12% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 11.87% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 62.82% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 37.17% (+0.95)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5 66.58% (+0.92)
Under 0.5 33.42% (-0.93)
Over 1.5 29.95% (+1.00)
Under 1.5 70.04% (-1.00)

Score analysis

Legia Warsaw 61.03%
Draw 20.27%
Lincoln Red Imps 18.69%
Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.87% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.01% (-0.23)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.28)
3-2 @ 3.84% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 3.41% (-0.22)
4-2 @ 2.05% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.09)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.12)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 61.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.27% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 3.97% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.4% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.27%
Lincoln Red Imps
1-2 @ 5.08% (+0.22)
0-1 @ 4.35% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 2.38% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.13)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 18.69%