Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puskas Academy win with a probability of 41%. A win for Lommel United had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puskas Academy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Lommel United win was 1-2 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.