La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 2
Osasuna

Guevara (64'), Omorodion (65'), Garcia (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arnaiz (36'), Budimir (90')
Pena (42'), Cruz (55'), Herrera (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Alaves
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, September 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
45.56% ( 1.15)	27.66% ( -0.15)	26.78% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 45.67% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

0.01)

59.43% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

0.01)

79.8% (

-0.01)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.94% (

0.59)

26.06% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.89% (

0.79)

61.1% (

-0.79)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.77% (

-0.83)

38.23% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.01% (

-0.81)

74.99% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Alaves 45.55%

Osasuna 26.78%

Draw 27.66%

Alaves	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 13.39% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.66%	0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.78%