La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 6

Sep 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Kike (45+1'), Garcia (61'), Abqar (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Williams (18'), Sancet (76')
Berenguer (29'), Berchiche (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Alaves
Friday, September 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Cadiz
Saturday, September 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 1-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
31.29% ( 0.05)	30.06% ( -0.01)	38.65% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 41.53% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.38% (

0.02)

65.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.68% (

0.02)

84.32% (

-0.02)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.96% (

0.05)

38.04% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.19% (

0.05)

74.81% (

-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

-0.01)

32.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-0.01)

69.56% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Alaves 31.29%

Athletic Bilbao 38.64%

Draw 30.06%

Alaves	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.12% 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 31.29%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.06%	0-1 @ 13.91% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.64%