Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
| 42.28% ( | 29.54% ( | 28.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.15% ( | 64.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.21% ( | 83.79% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.58% ( | 30.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.38% ( | 66.62% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( | 40.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( | 76.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.51% ( 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 4-1 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 12.19% ( 2-2 @ 3.61% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 28.17% |