/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Farselog.png)
-
Gabriel Osho
25'
-
Jacob Brown
33'
-
Ross Barkley
44'
-
Elijah Adebayo
49'
-
Ross Barkley
57'
-
Gabriel Martinelli
20'
-
Gabriel Jesus
45'
-
Gabriel Jesus
45'+1'
-
Kai Havertz
60'
-
Declan Rice
90'+7'
-
Mikel Arteta
90'+8'
Luton Town vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F49%2Farsenal.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Fbukayo-saka-gabriel-jesus.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F48%2Farsenal.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F11%2Ftaktom.JPG)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F34%2Ftakehiro-tomiyasu.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result
Luton Town
18.79%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
21.42%
▲
(+0.21)
Arsenal
59.78%
▼
(-0.49)
Both Teams to Score:
54.82%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.41%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 2.5
42.59%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
35%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 3.5
65%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 4.5
18.27%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 4.5
81.73%
▲
(+0.40)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
63.64%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
36.36%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
26.85%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
73.15%
▲
(+0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
86.14%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
13.86%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
58.75%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
41.25%
▲
(+0.63)
Score analysis
Luton Town
18.79%
Draw
21.42%
Arsenal
59.78%
Luton Town
1-0
@
5.1%
▲
(+0.12)
2-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.79%
2-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.79%
Draw
1-1
@
10.07%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.42%
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 5.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.42%
Arsenal
0-1
@
9.96%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 9.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.78%
1-2 @ 9.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.05)
1-4 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.08)
2-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.05)
0-5 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.78%
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Ftaktom.JPG)
Head to head