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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 5, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Arsenal logo
Luton
3 - 4
Arsenal
Osho (25'), Adebayo (49'), Barkley (57')
Brown (33'), Barkley (44')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Martinelli (20'), Jesus (45'), Havertz (60'), Rice (90+7')
Jesus (45+1'), Arteta (90+8')
The Match
Match Report
Declan Rice nets a 97th-minute winner as Arsenal beat Luton Town 4-3 at Kenilworth Road to move five points clear at the top of the Premier League.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Arsenal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Tuesday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash with Luton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-0 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawArsenal
18.79% (0.269 0.27) 21.42% (0.209 0.21) 59.78% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 54.82% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.41% (-0.522 -0.52)42.59% (0.521 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35% (-0.52 -0.52)65% (0.52000000000001 0.52)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)36.36% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.15% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.14% (-0.315 -0.31)13.86% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.75% (-0.624 -0.62)41.25% (0.623 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 18.79%
    Arsenal 59.78%
    Draw 21.42%
Luton TownDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 5.1% (0.115 0.12)
2-1 @ 5.1% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.58% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.79%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.109 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.115 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 9.96% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 9.96% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 6.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.48% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.32% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.24% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-4 @ 3.2% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.28% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.27% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 59.78%

How you voted: Luton vs Arsenal

Luton Town
9.5%
Draw
8.4%
Arsenal
82.1%
190
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool26186263253860
2Manchester CityMan City25175358263256
3Arsenal25174458223655
4Aston Villa25154652331949
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs25145652381447
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd2514293534144
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2510874840838
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle251141053411237
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham2510693644-836
10Chelsea25105104241135
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves25105103940-135
12Fulham2585123441-729
13Bournemouth2477103346-1328
14Brentford2574143544-925
15Crystal Palace2567122844-1625
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2566133244-1224
17Everton2586112733-620
18Luton TownLuton2555153551-1620
19Burnley2534182555-3013
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2534182265-4313

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