Manchester United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.