Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 12

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
1 - 0
Luton

Lindelof (59')
ten Hag (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kabore (74'), Lockyer (90+3')

Reaction

Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag on November 1, 2023

Erik ten Hag equals Sir Alex Ferguson's win record at Manchester United

Erik ten Hag levels Sir Alex Ferguson's record of 30 wins from his first 50 Premier League matches in Manchester United's 1-0 victory over Luton Town.

Nov 12, 17:49

Erik ten Hag pleased with Manchester United's start to Premier League season

Manchester United boss Erik ten Hag says that his team can be pleased with their start to the 2023-24 Premier League campaign.

Nov 11, 19:05

Manchester United attacker Rasmus Hojlund after picking up an injury on November 11, 2023

Manchester United suffer Christian Eriksen, Rasmus Hojlund injury blows

Manchester United duo Christian Eriksen and Rasmus Hojlund were both forced off the field during Saturday's 1-0 win over Luton Town at Old Trafford.

Nov 11, 18:41

Manchester United's Marcus Rashford on September 30, 2023

Marcus Rashford creates history in Manchester United's clash with Luton Town

Marcus Rashford becomes the youngest Manchester United player to reach 250 Premier League appearances for the club.

Nov 11, 15:09

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Copenhagen 4-3 Man Utd
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Liverpool
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Luton Town
57.02% ( -0.01)	22.02%	20.96% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.45% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83% (

0.01)

42.17% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.42% (

0.01)

64.57% (

-0.01)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.41% (

14.58% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.33% (

42.66%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.09% (

0.01)

33.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.42% (

0.01)

70.58% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 57.02%

Luton Town 20.96%

Draw 22.01%

Manchester United	Draw	Luton Town
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.36% 3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.06% 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.02%	1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.01%	1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.35% 0-2 @ 2.89% 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.96%