Premier League Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Tom Lockyer 19' yellowcard
  • Carlton Morris 34' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yves Bissouma 38'
  • redcard Yves Bissouma 45'+4'
  • goal Mickey van de Ven 52'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 68'

Luton Town vs Tottenham Hotspur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 7.30pm
Luton 1 - 2 Burnley
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Elijah Adebayo

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
Spurs 2 - 1 Liverpool
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Son Heung-min

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.35%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result

Luton Town 39.32% (-0.01)
Draw 24.04% (+0.02)
Tottenham Hotspur 36.63% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.24% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.85% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 41.14% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 36.46% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 63.54% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 19.37% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 80.63% (+0.07)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.93% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 21.07% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 46.12% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 53.88% (+0.07)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 77.58% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.41% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 44.07% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.93% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Luton Town 39.32%
Draw 24.04%
Tottenham Hotspur 36.63%
Luton Town
2-1 @ 8.56% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.35% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.73% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 39.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.72% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.04%
Tottenham Hotspur
1-2 @ 8.22%
0-1 @ 7.06% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 36.63%

Build-up

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