Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 1
Liverpool

Chong (80')
Nakamba (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diaz (90+5')
Mac Allister (54'), Klopp (75')

Reaction

Luton Town's Issa Kabore in action with Liverpool's Diogo Jota on November 5, 2023

FA investigating tragedy chanting during Luton Town-Liverpool draw

The FA confirms that they are "seeking observations" after reports of tragedy chanting during Liverpool's 1-1 Premier League draw with Luton Town at Kenilworth Road.

Nov 6, 17:18

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp pictured on November 5, 2023

Jurgen Klopp: 'Luis Diaz equaliser is wonderful, emotional and fantastic'

Jurgen Klopp pays tribute to Luis Diaz following his "emotional" equaliser against Luton Town but concedes that the "real problem" is yet to be sorted.

Nov 5, 21:07

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Luton
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Liverpool

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.75%) and 0-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Liverpool
22.6% ( -0.85)	21.05% ( -0.34)	56.35% ( 1.18)

Both teams to score 62.34% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.48% (

0.62)

35.52% (

-0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.43% (

0.69)

57.56% (

-0.69)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.32% (

-0.34)

28.68% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.5% (

-0.43)

64.5% (

0.43)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.41% (

0.55)

12.59% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.32% (

1.14)

38.68% (

-1.14)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 22.6%

Liverpool 56.35%

Draw 21.05%

Luton Town	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.6%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.05%	1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 6.69% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 5.36% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 2.78% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.08) 3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 56.35%