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Ryan Gravenberch
44'
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Diogo Jota
90'+2'
Liverpool vs Union SG - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Flivgak.JPG)
Injuries & Suspensions
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.09%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result
Liverpool
55.09%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
21.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Union SG
23.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
61.17%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.55%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
37.44%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
40.33%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
59.67%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
22.4%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
77.59%
▲
(+0.03)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5
86.39%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
13.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
59.26%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
40.74%
▲
(+0.03)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5
70.81%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
29.19%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
34.86%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
65.13%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Liverpool
55.09%
Draw
21.63%
Union SG
23.28%
Liverpool
2-1
@
9.73%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 55.09%
1-0 @ 7.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 55.09%
Draw
1-1
@
9.75%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
2-2 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.63%
Union SG
1-2
@
6.01%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 23.28%
0-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 23.28%