Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Genk had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Union SG	Draw	Genk
45.28% ( 0.3)	24.76% ( 0.25)	29.96% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 56.46% (

-1.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.58% (

-1.4)

46.42% (

1.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.3% (

-1.33)

68.7% (

1.32)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

-0.44)

20.57% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.9% (

-0.7)

53.09% (

0.7)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08% (

-1.07)

28.91% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.21% (

-1.35)

64.79% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Union SG 45.28%

Genk 29.96%

Draw 24.76%

Union SG	Draw	Genk
1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.28%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.96%