Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1
Jul 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Anderlecht

Union SG
2 - 0
Anderlecht

Eckert (30'), Puertas (90+8' pen.)
Burgess (17'), Rasmussen (27'), Vanhoutte (54'), Nilsson (83'), Mac Allister (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Riemer (24+24'), Sardella (75'), Vertonghen (83'), Leoni (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Anderlecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-0 Union SG
Saturday, July 15 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

Anderlecht

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Anderlecht 3-0 Ajax
Saturday, July 22 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 52.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawAnderlecht
52.53% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)23.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)23.55% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.206 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (0.174 0.17)47.49% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (0.162 0.16)69.7% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.95% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06%48.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (0.251 0.25)34.48% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (0.267 0.27)71.2% (-0.268 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 52.53%
    Anderlecht 23.55%
    Draw 23.91%
Union SGDrawAnderlecht
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.21% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 52.53%
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 23.55%

How you voted: Union SG vs Anderlecht

Union SG
75.9%
Draw
10.3%
Anderlecht
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Anderlecht
1-3
Union SG
Silva (64')
Puertas (81'), Arnstad (87' og.), Adingra (90')
Aug 28, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Union SG
2-1
Anderlecht
Okoh Boniface (2'), Vanzeir (31')
Van der Heyden (59'), Nieuwkoop (69'), Rodriguez (90')
Murillo (12')
Kana (41')
May 15, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 39
Anderlecht
0-2
Union SG

Hoedt (6'), Kana (21')
Murillo (87')
Mitoma (2'), Undav (50')
Van der Heyden (48'), Burgess (51')
Apr 24, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Union SG
3-1
Anderlecht
Nieuwkoop (2'), Vanzeir (12'), Mitoma (52')
Thierry Lazare (47'), Bager (90')
Cullen (26')
Cullen (31'), Murillo (50'), Olsson (90+6')
Jan 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 23
Union SG
1-0
Anderlecht
Nielsen (11')
Nieuwkoop (59'), Van der Heyden (64'), Thierry Lazare (72')

Refaelov (54')