Standard Liege
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Standard Liege
0 - 1
Union SG


Balikwisha (5'), Donnum (62'), Mundle (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eckert (21')
Lynen (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Belgian Pro League clash between Standard Liege and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Standard Liege

All competitions
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 1-0 Standard Liege
Sunday, July 30 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 2-0 Anderlecht
Friday, July 28 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Standard LiegeDrawUnion SG
33.98% (-0.616 -0.62)23.49% (-0.198 -0.2)42.52% (0.816 0.82)
Both teams to score 62.78% (0.561 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.09% (0.81 0.81)38.91% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (0.847 0.85)61.22% (-0.845 -0.84)
Standard Liege Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)22.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5% (0.061 0.06)56.5% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (0.687 0.69)18.68% (-0.687 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (1.139 1.14)50.02% (-1.139 -1.14)
Score Analysis
    Standard Liege 33.98%
    Union SG 42.52%
    Draw 23.49%
Standard LiegeDrawUnion SG
2-1 @ 7.81% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.98%
1-1 @ 10.56% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.55% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.14 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.091 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.102 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.41% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 42.52%

How you voted: Standard Liege vs Union SG

Standard Liege
20.7%
Draw
24.1%
Union SG
55.2%
29
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Union SG
2-4
Standard Liege
Vertessen (22'), Okoh Boniface (66')
Zinckernagel (20'), Alzate (25'), Balikwisha (85'), Donnum (90+8')
Nov 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Standard Liege
2-3
Union SG
Dussenne (53' pen.), Zinckernagel (90+6' pen.)
Vanzeir (23'), Burgess (65'), Nieuwkoop (87')
Apr 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 29
Standard Liege
1-3
Union SG
Sissako (24')
Cafaro (21'), Van Damme (28'), Dewaele (61'), Bastien (88')
Teuma (9'), Nieuwkoop (70'), Nielsen (83')
Burgess (36'), Nielsen (88')
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Union SG
4-0
Standard Liege
Nielsen (23'), Vanzeir (39', 52', 71')
Nielsen (75')

Peeters (22'), Al Dakhil (53'), Rafia (70'), Amallah (87'), Klauss (90+1')