Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Standard Liege had a probability of 14.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a Standard Liege win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.