Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.