Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.