Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 37.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.