Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.