Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 29
Mar 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
OH Leuven

Charleroi
0 - 1
Leuven

FT(HT: 0-1)
Al Tamari (16')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Kortrijk 0-1 Charleroi
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Leuven

All competitions
Last Game: Leuven 4-2 Zulte
Saturday, March 4 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
CharleroiDrawLeuven
48.86% (0.007000000000005 0.01)23.48% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)27.66% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.24% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)42.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.44% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)17.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.012 -0.01)28.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)64.02% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 48.86%
    Leuven 27.66%
    Draw 23.47%
CharleroiDrawLeuven
2-1 @ 9.51%
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 48.86%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 27.66%

How you voted: Charleroi vs Leuven

Charleroi
36.4%
Draw
45.5%
Leuven
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 7.45pm
Leuven
3-2
Charleroi
Maertens (22'), Gonzalez (62', 85')
Heymans (13'), Ilaimaharitra (76' pen.)
Andreou (17')
Dec 27, 2021 5.45pm
Charleroi
0-3
Leuven

Ilaimaharitra (4')
De Norre (17'), Al Tamari (54'), Kaba (74')
Aug 8, 2021 3pm
Leuven
1-1
Charleroi
Henry (61')
De Norre (28')
Zorgane (8')
Knezevic (90')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Charleroi
1-1
Leuven
Dessoleil (61')
Gillet (46'), Fall (49')
Sowah (12')
Tshimanga (60'), Malinov (64'), Al Tamari (90')
Aug 22, 2020 5.30pm
Leuven
1-3
Charleroi
Mercier (34')
Sowah (59')
Dessoleil (6'), Fall (50'), Rezaei (80')
Gholizadeh (59'), Ilaimaharitra (69'), Busi (82'), Hendrickx (90+2')
Fall (65')