Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.