Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Sint-Truiden
46.08% ( 0.28)	25.03% ( -0.05)	28.9% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.85% (

0.08)

48.16% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.69% (

0.07)

70.31% (

-0.07)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.07% (

0.16)

20.93% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.33% (

0.24)

53.67% (

-0.24)

Sint-Truiden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.45% (

-0.13)

30.55% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.22% (

-0.16)

66.78% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Leuven 46.08%

Sint-Truiden 28.9%

Draw 25.02%

Leuven	Draw	Sint-Truiden
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 46.08%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.02%	0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.9%