Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sint-Truiden in this match.