Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for KV Oostende had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a KV Oostende win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.