Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 12, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
OH Leuven

Union SG
5 - 1
Leuven

Terho (21'), Puertas (34'), Eckert (65' pen., 74' pen.), Nilsson (90+8' pen.)
Burgess (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dagur Thorsteinsson (39')
Banzuzi (44'), Dom (53'), Kiyine (61'), Mendyl (90+7')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Leuven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Standard Liege 0-1 Union SG
Friday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leuven 1-2 RWDM
Saturday, August 5 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawLeuven
53.36% (-0.273 -0.27)23.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)23.3% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 55.22% (0.258 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (0.191 0.19)45.33% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (0.182 0.18)67.66% (-0.179 -0.18)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)16.94% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99% (-0.052 -0.05)47.02% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.33499999999999 0.33)33.52% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.365 0.37)70.16% (-0.361 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 53.36%
    Leuven 23.3%
    Draw 23.34%
Union SGDrawLeuven
1-0 @ 10.08% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.95% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.35% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 53.36%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.34%
0-1 @ 6.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 23.3%

Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Union SG
1-0
Leuven
Nilsson (77')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Leuven
0-3
Union SG
Burgess (12'), Kandouss (20'), Vanzeir (68')
Mar 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Leuven
1-4
Union SG
Schrijvers (11' pen.)
Keita (30'), Dewaest (44'), Chakla (60')
Undav (27', 48', 62'), Teuma (58')
Nov 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Union SG
1-3
Leuven
Mitoma (50')
Vanzeir (34'), Nieuwkoop (76'), Sorinola (79')
De Norre (13'), Maertens (40'), Mercier (66')
Malinov (53'), Mercier (58'), Ozkacar (62')