Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
OH Leuven

Charleroi
1 - 1
Leuven

Dabbagh (9')
Mbenza (39'), Ilaimaharitra (52'), Heymans (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Opoku (84' pen.)
Maertens (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Leuven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Charleroi 2-2 Genk
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leicester 4-2 Leuven
Wednesday, July 19 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
CharleroiDrawLeuven
43.93% (-0.279 -0.28)24.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)31.41% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.52% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.136 -0.14)45.37% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.131 -0.13)67.71% (0.131 0.13)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.181 -0.18)20.74% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.286 -0.29)53.36% (0.284 0.28)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (0.079000000000008 0.08)27.43% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.10400000000001 0.1)62.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 43.93%
    Leuven 31.41%
    Draw 24.66%
CharleroiDrawLeuven
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Charleroi vs Leuven

Charleroi
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Leuven
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Charleroi
0-1
Leuven
Al Tamari (16')
Sep 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leuven
3-2
Charleroi
Maertens (22'), Gonzalez (62', 85')
Heymans (13'), Ilaimaharitra (76' pen.)
Dec 27, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 19
Charleroi
0-3
Leuven

Ilaimaharitra (4')
De Norre (17'), Al Tamari (54'), Kaba (74')
Aug 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leuven
1-1
Charleroi
Henry (61')
De Norre (28')
Zorgane (8')
Knezevic (90')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Charleroi
1-1
Leuven
Dessoleil (61')
Gillet (46'), Fall (49')
Sowah (12')
Tshimanga (60'), Malinov (64'), Al Tamari (90')