Belgian Pro League Gameweek 2
Aug 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
  • Sebastiao Sagrado 18' goal
  • Sebastiao Sagrado 21' yellowcard
  • Hamza Mendyl 31' yellowcard
  • Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson 90' yellowcard
  • Ewoud Pletinckx 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Mickael Biron 44'
  • goal Mickael Biron 48'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Heris 82'

Leuven vs RWD Molenbeek - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leuven

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Jul 29, 2023 5.15pm
Charleroi 1 - 1 Leuven
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jon Dagur Thorsteinsson

RWD Molenbeek

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Jul 29, 2023 7.45pm
RWDM 0 - 4 Genk
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Makhtar Gueye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result

Leuven 44.2% (-1.55)
Draw 24.14% (+0.50)
RWD Molenbeek 31.66% (+1.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.5% (-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.17% (-1.81)
Under 2.5 42.83% (+1.81)
Over 3.5 34.77% (-1.81)
Under 3.5 65.23% (+1.82)
Over 4.5 18.09% (-1.37)
Under 4.5 81.91% (+1.38)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5 80.43% (-1.37)
Under 0.5 19.57% (+1.37)
Over 1.5 48.5% (-2.28)
Under 1.5 51.5% (+2.29)

RWD Molenbeek Goals

Over 0.5 73.98% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 26.02% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 38.94% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 61.06% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Leuven 44.2%
Draw 24.14%
RWD Molenbeek 31.66%
Leuven
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 8.31% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.29)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.22)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.22)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.15)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.16)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.09% (+0.40)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.14%
RWD Molenbeek
1-2 @ 7.53% (+0.19)
0-1 @ 6.86% (+0.50)
0-2 @ 4.62% (+0.31)
1-3 @ 3.38% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.07% (+0.13)
1-4 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 31.66%