Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.